Puerto Montt vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
SWA
2 - 0
PUE
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
PUE
1 - 0
ACS
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
PUE
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
CDP
2 - 0
PUE
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
PUE
0 - 1
UNI
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
OHI
4 - 1
UCO
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 2
SWA
54%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ACS
0 - 2
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 2
HUA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
OHI
1 - 1
UCO
46%
24%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |