Puebla vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 0
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 3
PUE
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
PUE
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 1
TIG
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PUE
0 - 1
LOB
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
UAP
3 - 3
ALE
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALE
3 - 0
UAT
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 0
CAZ
28%
27%
46%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 2
ALE
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
JUA
2 - 1
ALE
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |