Puebla vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 2
PUE
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 1
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
JAG
1 - 1
PUE
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
AME
2 - 3
MOR
53%
24%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 2
DOR
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ATS
3 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |