Puebla vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 3
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
IRA
3 - 2
PUE
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 0
PUE
37%
27%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 2
PUE
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 3
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 2
PUM
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
IRA
3 - 2
PUE
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
IRA
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UAT
2 - 1
IRA
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |