Puebla vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
MAZ
1 - 4
PUE
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 1
PUE
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PUE
0 - 0
TIG
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TIJ
0 - 1
PUE
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOL
32%
26%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
CAZ
2 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2020 |
CAZ
2 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIG
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
AME
1 - 4
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |