Puch vs UFC Maria Alm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
KUC
0 - 3
PUC
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
PUC
1 - 1
STR
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
SCL
2 - 4
PUC
11%
17%
72%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
PUC
1 - 0
HAL
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WAL
1 - 1
PUC
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
UMA
1 - 3
USC
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ASK
3 - 0
UMA
64%
20%
17%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
KUC
4 - 1
UMA
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UMA
2 - 3
STR
28%
25%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
SCL
1 - 1
UMA
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |