Puch vs Schwarzach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2002 |
ASK
1 - 3
PUC
32%
26%
43%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
PUC
5 - 2
BLA
76%
15%
10%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
KUF
0 - 0
PUC
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
PUC
6 - 2
WAT
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
PUC
6 - 1
HAR
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Schwarzach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2002 |
SCH
1 - 5
HAR
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
HOH
5 - 2
SCH
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
SCH
3 - 1
REI
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SAL
6 - 1
SCH
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
SCH
3 - 1
NEN
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |