Puch vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
KIR
0 - 2
PUC
18%
25%
57%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
PUC
2 - 1
REI
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
PUC
1 - 4
KUF
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 1
PUC
15%
24%
62%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
PUC
1 - 3
KUN
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
HAR
5 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
KUN
1 - 4
HAR
47%
25%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
FEL
1 - 0
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
HAR
9 - 1
HOH
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
NEN
0 - 0
HAR
16%
23%
61%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | -1 |