Puch vs Bramberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
43.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
13º
9º
59
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
92.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
92.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 4
PUC
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
STR
3 - 0
PUC
41%
21%
38%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
PUC
1 - 2
SAL
82%
11%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 2
PUC
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PUC
2 - 0
ANI
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bramberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
BRA
31%
23%
47%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 4
BRA
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
HAL
78%
14%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ANI
2 - 1
BRA
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 0
BUR
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |