Pubilla Casas vs MBD Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pubilla Casas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SEP
1 - 2
PUC
49%
21%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PUC
1 - 3
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CBX
3 - 2
PUC
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PUC
1 - 2
ALM
74%
14%
11%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MON
2 - 4
PUC
23%
19%
57%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
MBD Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 1
LIO
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LIO
1 - 3
SEP
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 3
LIO
20%
19%
61%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LIO
2 - 1
CBX
33%
22%
46%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 2
LIO
38%
21%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |