PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BOS
0 - 3
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 0
RBK
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
UTR
0 - 0
PSV
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
RBK
1 - 2
PSV
35%
25%
40%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
BVV
4 - 5
WIL
32%
24%
45%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 0
RBC
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
WIL
4 - 2
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |