PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
FEY
0 - 1
PSV
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 0
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
PSV
1 - 0
TWE
53%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
MVV
0 - 2
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 1
AJA
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
WAG
2 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
MVV
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 2
RJC
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
GAE
4 - 2
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |