PSV vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
4º
2º
40
10º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PSV
0 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 0
ACM
33%
25%
43%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 2
PSV
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
VIT
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
MSV
2 - 1
VIT
15%
20%
66%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 2
VIT
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |