KNVB Beker 1/32

PSV vs Roda JC analysis

PSV Roda JC
86 ELO 65
-0.1% Tilt 26.9%
99º General ELO ranking 766º
Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
68.3%
PSV
19.1%
Draw
12.5%
Roda JC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
PSV
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.5%
Win probability
Roda JC
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

PSV
Roda JC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2016
PSV
PSV
0 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
49%
24%
27%
86 83 3 0
13 Sep. 2016
PSV
PSV
0 - 1
Atlético
ATM
25%
28%
47%
86 94 8 0
10 Sep. 2016
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
0 - 4
PSV
PSV
19%
21%
61%
86 73 13 0
28 Aug. 2016
PSV
PSV
0 - 0
Groningen
GRO
74%
17%
9%
86 71 15 0
20 Aug. 2016
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
0 - 4
PSV
PSV
21%
21%
57%
85 74 11 +1

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2016
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 3
Heerenveen
SCH
26%
25%
49%
67 76 9 0
11 Sep. 2016
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
38%
26%
36%
68 65 3 -1
27 Aug. 2016
WIL
Willem II
0 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
51%
24%
25%
67 71 4 +1
20 Aug. 2016
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
30%
26%
45%
68 75 7 -1
13 Aug. 2016
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
77%
16%
7%
68 86 18 0