PSV vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
4º
2º
41
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
PSV
1 - 1
BOG
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TWE
2 - 1
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
7 - 1
VOL
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 6
PSV
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
0 - 1
GLA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RKC
5 - 2
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RKC
0 - 1
FEY
11%
19%
70%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCE
1 - 1
RKC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RKC
2 - 2
UTR
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |