PSV vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 4
PSV
24%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PSV
1 - 0
FEY
59%
21%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2000 |
PSV
2 - 3
AND
55%
21%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
TWE
0 - 2
PSV
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
PSV
2 - 0
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
PAO
2 - 2
PAN
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 1
PAO
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2000 |
PAO
3 - 0
UDI
34%
27%
40%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
PAO
4 - 1
OFI
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
ARI
4 - 0
PAO
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |