PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
PSV
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PSV
5 - 0
GRO
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 1
NEW
50%
25%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
RKC
0 - 4
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 1
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
RJC
4 - 0
NEC
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
NEC
4 - 0
WIL
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
5 - 2
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 2
AZA
38%
25%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
TWE
2 - 5
NEC
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |