PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 1
PSV
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2001 |
GAL
2 - 0
PSV
32%
23%
45%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
PSV
0 - 0
NAN
56%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
AZA
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
RJC
0 - 0
NEC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 0
TWE
30%
26%
45%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
VIT
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |