PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1969 |
FEY
1 - 0
PSV
74%
17%
10%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
PSV
1 - 0
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1969 |
PSV
1 - 0
VVD
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
ROM
1 - 0
PSV
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
HFC
2 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 2
AZA
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
NAC
86%
10%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 0
NEC
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAC
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |