UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 4-0
PSV vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 2
PSV
27%
23%
51%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
PSV
5 - 1
GAL
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
PSV
1 - 0
PAO
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
OSN
0 - 0
PSV
8%
16%
77%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
DSC
1 - 10
PSV
3%
10%
87%
|
87 | 25 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VFF
0 - 2
MID
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
MID
2 - 1
CEL
46%
24%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AAB
0 - 1
MID
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 1
MID
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
MID
1 - 2
OBK
68%
20%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |