PSV vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
PSV
1 - 1
BOS
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
NEC
1 - 4
PSV
14%
23%
62%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
PSV
3 - 4
RJC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
WIL
3 - 4
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCA
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
FCL
4 - 2
GCZ
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
FCL
2 - 2
SIO
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 2
FCL
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |