PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 1
ADO
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 1
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 3
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
HER
4 - 5
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 1
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
SCH
38%
23%
38%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FEY
2 - 1
HER
65%
19%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |