PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
PSV
3 - 2
RJC
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 3
PSV
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ADO
0 - 2
PSV
18%
23%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
HER
0 - 4
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
RBC
1 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
HER
0 - 2
AZA
25%
23%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |