PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
FEY
4 - 2
PSV
56%
21%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
PSV
7 - 1
ESB
79%
12%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRO
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
ESB
3 - 4
PSV
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
DWS
1 - 2
PSV
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
HER
3 - 1
VOL
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
AJA
7 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
HER
0 - 2
VVD
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
HER
3 - 0
FEY
25%
21%
53%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |