PSV vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 3
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PSV
2 - 0
ADO
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 0
ATM
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PSV
2 - 0
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 3
PSV
29%
24%
48%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 4
UTR
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 1
SCH
19%
23%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEC
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 0
SCH
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 3
TWE
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |