PSV vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
1 - 1
VCF
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 2
PSV
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
2 - 6
TWE
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 2
FEY
70%
18%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 2
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 0
SCH
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 3
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 0
NAC
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RKC
0 - 1
SCH
30%
24%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |