PSV vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 3
PSV
13%
21%
67%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 0
PSV
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 0
RKC
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 2
PSV
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
PSV
5 - 0
CRV
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 0
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRA
70%
18%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
TWE
4 - 1
SCH
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 4
RJC
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
AZA
1 - 1
SCH
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |