PSV vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 2
TWE
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FEY
0 - 2
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 1
PSV
23%
22%
55%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 2
ZWO
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
ADO
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 3
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRA
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |