PSV vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
RBK
0 - 2
PSV
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
PSV
16%
19%
65%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
NSM
1 - 5
PSV
25%
23%
53%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 1
FCE
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 3
PSV
15%
20%
66%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 3
AZA
16%
22%
63%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
TWE
2 - 0
FOR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
VVV
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
TWE
2 - 1
FOR
42%
24%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |