PSV vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
HEL
2 - 5
PSV
7%
15%
78%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
PSV
1 - 3
FEY
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
UTR
0 - 1
PSV
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
MVV
1 - 7
PSV
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
FOR
3 - 2
SPA
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
FOR
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
GAE
2 - 0
FOR
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +5 |