PSV vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
RJC
0 - 1
PSV
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 3
PSV
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
CLU
0 - 2
PSV
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
55%
23%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VVV
1 - 1
FEY
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 0
AZA
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 0
WIL
76%
17%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 2
FEY
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FEY
3 - 1
GRO
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |