PSV vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 2
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 0
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
PSV
3 - 1
RKC
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
PSV
3 - 2
DEP
29%
23%
47%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
ZWO
0 - 3
RBC
40%
25%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
ZWO
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ZWO
1 - 1
GRO
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
VIT
5 - 2
ZWO
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 4
PSV
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |