PSV vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
PSV
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
VIT
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 4
PSV
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BVO
2 - 1
UTR
32%
23%
44%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
UTR
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
UTR
5 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
STE
0 - 5
UTR
6%
14%
80%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | +1 |