PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FEY
2 - 1
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
PSV
1 - 2
FCB
30%
24%
46%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PSV
3 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 4
PSV
8%
15%
77%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
TOT
2 - 1
PSV
42%
24%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 3
UTR
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCE
1 - 2
EXC
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 7
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 4
GRO
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |