PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
BOS
2 - 4
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
GAE
2 - 1
PSV
25%
23%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
NTT
1 - 0
PSV
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 2
AZA
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
GRO
0 - 2
EXC
77%
15%
9%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 0
HFC
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |