PSV vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ZWO
3 - 1
PSV
23%
24%
54%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 0
VIT
69%
18%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
SHA
0 - 2
PSV
21%
23%
57%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 0
SHA
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 5
RIO
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 1
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 2
EST
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | +1 |