UCL Qualifying Play-offs Final
Global 6-2
PSV vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 2
PSV
10%
16%
74%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
BAT
2 - 3
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
PSV
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PSV
4 - 0
UTR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PSV
0 - 0
FEY
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 1
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
BAT
2 - 3
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 1
QAR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
QAR
0 - 1
BAT
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
HJK
1 - 2
BAT
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |