PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 0
PSV
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2007 |
PSV
3 - 2
GAE
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
PSV
3 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
PSV
2 - 1
ADO
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
AZA
5 - 0
MVV
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
ADO
1 - 3
AZA
14%
20%
66%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 2
RJC
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |