PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
LYO
4 - 0
PSV
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 2
PSV
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 0
FEY
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
AZA
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 2
AZA
21%
23%
57%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 2
PSV
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 1
BET
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |