Eredivisie Round 10

PSV vs Ajax analysis

PSV Ajax
89 ELO 87
15.1% Tilt 22.5%
100º General ELO ranking 102º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.7%
PSV
21.7%
Draw
24.6%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
PSV
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.6%
Win probability
Ajax
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSV
+13%
+5%
Ajax

Points and table prediction

PSV
Their league position
Ajax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
91
56
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
91
91
100%
Feyenoord
84
84
100%
Twente
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
65
65
100%
Ajax
56
56
100%
NEC Nijmegen
53
53
100%
Utrecht
50
50
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
49
49
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
46
46
100%
Fortuna Sittard
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Heerenveen
11º
37
37
11º
100%
PEC Zwolle
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Almere City
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Heracles
14º
33
33
14º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
15º
29
29
15º
0%
Excelsior
16º
29
29
16º
0%
Vitesse
18º
6
24
17º
100%
FC Volendam
17º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
PSV
Ajax
Champion
100% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

PSV
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2023
LEN
Lens
1 - 1
PSV
PSV
21%
22%
57%
89 85 4 0
21 Oct. 2023
PSV
PSV
3 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
80%
13%
7%
89 70 19 0
08 Oct. 2023
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
0 - 4
PSV
PSV
17%
21%
63%
89 80 9 0
03 Oct. 2023
PSV
PSV
2 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
57%
22%
21%
89 88 1 0
30 Sep. 2023
PSV
PSV
3 - 1
FC Volendam
VOL
79%
14%
7%
89 69 20 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2023
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
61%
20%
18%
87 92 5 0
22 Oct. 2023
UTR
Utrecht
4 - 3
Ajax
AJA
22%
23%
56%
87 80 7 0
08 Oct. 2023
AJA
Ajax
1 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
43%
24%
33%
88 89 1 -1
05 Oct. 2023
AEK
AEK Athens
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
23%
22%
55%
88 83 5 0
27 Sep. 2023
AJA
Ajax
0 - 4
Feyenoord
FEY
41%
23%
36%
88 89 1 0