PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
PSV
1 - 2
LEI
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
LEI
0 - 0
PSV
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TWE
3 - 3
PSV
12%
19%
68%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PSV
5 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 2
FEY
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
SLB
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BVO
2 - 3
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |