PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 1
PSV
13%
20%
67%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PSV
5 - 0
WIL
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 2
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PSV
1 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
S04
3 - 2
AJA
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
S04
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 5
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |