PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 2
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 0
PSV
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
7 - 0
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRA
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | +1 |