PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1993 |
BVO
0 - 1
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1993 |
PSV
3 - 1
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
PSV
0 - 3
RKC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
VOL
3 - 1
PSV
21%
25%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
PSV
1 - 0
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
FOR
1 - 4
AJA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
AJA
6 - 0
SPA
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
GAE
0 - 6
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
AJA
4 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
AJA
4 - 1
FCD
83%
12%
4%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |