PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
ADO
0 - 2
PSV
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
PSV
2 - 1
BJK
66%
19%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 2
PSV
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
PSV
5 - 0
FCD
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
ORE
0 - 1
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
AJA
3 - 1
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
AJA
5 - 1
GRA
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
AJA
3 - 0
ORE
91%
7%
2%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |