PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
PSV
8 - 1
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
PSV
0 - 2
DUN
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 1
PSV
20%
24%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
DUN
1 - 1
PSV
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
GAE
2 - 4
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
1 - 2
CEL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
CEL
2 - 2
AJA
36%
24%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |