PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
PSV
0 - 1
ZWO
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
PSV
0 - 3
AZA
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 4
PSV
21%
25%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1980 |
PSV
5 - 0
GRO
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
17%
23%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
WAG
0 - 2
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
RJC
2 - 3
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 2
GAE
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 1
WIL
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
FEY
4 - 2
AJA
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |