PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
PSV
3 - 0
GRA
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
TEL
2 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
PSV
4 - 0
AZA
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
PSV
3 - 0
GWA
86%
11%
4%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
WAG
1 - 1
PSV
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 1
JUV
64%
20%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
AZA
3 - 0
AJA
16%
26%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1974 |
JUV
1 - 0
AJA
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
AJA
4 - 0
HFC
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1974 |
ANT
2 - 1
AJA
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |