PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
BOS
0 - 7
PSV
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
HAL
0 - 0
PSV
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
PSV
4 - 0
VOL
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
TEL
2 - 1
PSV
26%
28%
47%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 0
UTR
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
2 - 0
SGD
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
GRO
0 - 0
AJA
14%
25%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |