PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
PSV
0 - 0
RMA
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
AZA
0 - 1
PSV
14%
24%
62%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
SHS
0 - 5
PSV
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
VOW
1 - 0
PSV
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 1
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
ATM
1 - 0
AJA
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
AJA
7 - 0
EXC
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
CEL
1 - 0
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |